As I'm filling out my bracket, there are a number of tough decisions to be made. Some, however, are tougher than others. Which group is the most difficult to predict 1st place/2nd place? This is also, I suppose, an estimation of which group has the most parity. Some possible candidates:
Group A: France, Mexico, South Africa, Uruguay
France have a stunning team on paper but can't seem to make anything click. Mexico have some young stars and expect to make a good run of it this year. South Africa have the home advantage and expectations are surely high. Uruguay haven't advanced to the knockout round since 1990 but they have a good side now with Europa league winner Forlan in front.
Group D: Germany, Australia, Serbia, Ghana
With Essien missing, Ghana may struggle to gain points, but this seems like a close race for 2nd.
Group B: Argentina, Nigeria, South Korea, Greece
Group F: Italy, Paraguay, New Zealand, Slovakia
Group C has the smallest range of FIFA rankings (England (8) and Algeria (30)) but it has two strong favorites as well.
Any thoughts?
1 comments: on "Which group is hardest to predict?"
I feel like the Group Winners for each group are fairly easy to predict, except Group G, where the colonial history between Brazil and Portugal should make it very interesting. Of course with performances from Italy and France of the recent caliber, anything can happen!
Group D is hardest to predict who will get second place. Very difficult to choose between Serbia and Ghana. Serbia, on paper, actually have the strongest defence in this year's tournament with Ivanovic, Vidic, and Subotic, who had a standout year with his club Borussia Dortmund. Ghana, even without Michael Essien, managed to make it to the finals of the African Nations Cup, so don't rule them out just because of one player's absence.
In Group A, familiar foes Mexico and Uruguay will be battling it out for a chance to face Group B winners Argentina (unless Maradona somehow screws it up, even with the best attacking force in this year's world cup).
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